Sports Betting Weekly

Paris Saint-Germain v Barcelona

When: Thursday, 16 April 2015 @ 01:45 (FINISHED)
Where: Parc Des Princes
Having already been paired together in the group stage, European powerhouses Paris Saint-Germain and Barcelona will have the chance to renew old rivalries in the quarter-finals of the UEFA Champions League as Luis Enrique’s team travel to the Parc des Princes on Wednesday night.

With the two sides overcoming Premier League opposition in the shape of Chelsea and Manchester City in the previous round, both managers will be confident about their team’s chances going into what promises to be one of the most open and unpredictable ties at this stage of the competition.

Indeed, when the Catalan giants last travelled to Paris in September, it was the home side who ultimately emerged victorious as a hugely entertaining game ended with a 3-2 win for PSG. Barcelona certainly managed to avenge that defeat with a 3-1 victory in the reverse fixtures, but in truth there is little to separate the two sides head-to-head, with two wins apiece and three draws.

Despite this fact, the bookmakers are making no secret out of who they fancy for the tie, with Barcelona priced up as odds-on favourites at 19/20 and the hosts out at 3/1 to record victory in their own back yard. Similarly the visitors are 1/3 to qualify over two legs, while PSG are viewed as 11/4 outsiders, but it is the first of these sets of odds that really merits our betting attention here.

While it is debatable as to whether any team boasting the triple threat of Zlatan Ibrahimovic (who will admittedly be suspended for the quarter-final), Edison Cavani and Ezequiel Lavezzi should be priced as 3/1 outsiders on their own patch, those odds look even more outlandish when you consider Barcelona have not beaten PSG in any of their three previous trips to Paris (W0 D1 L2), so if you do fancy them here, the draw offers better value at 11/4.

What does look like more of a certainty, however, is the fact that this fixture usually features goals. Indeed, in their seven previous meetings in European competition, only one game has featured a clean sheet for either side – the 1996/1997 Cup Winners Cup, where Barcelona eventually emerged as 1-0 victors – and barring that result, their games have seen an average of 3.3 goals scored.

With that in mind, odds of 19/20 on the game featuring over 2.5 goals look a cast iron banker, while over 3.5 is not beyond the realms of plausibility at 12/5. A score draw is available at 16/5, but if you really want to get some bang for your buck, backing both teams to score and PSG to win looks to offer extremely good value at 7/1, while the same result is available in Barcelona’s favour at 3/1.