Sports Betting Weekly

Porto v Bayern Munich

When: Thursday, 16 April 2015 @ 01:45 (FINISHED)
Where: Estadio Do Dragao
If Monaco were the team everybody wanted to draw in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals, there can be no denying that Bayern Munich – who warmed up for this stage of the competition with a 7-0 thrashing of Shakhtar Donetsk – are the side everyone hoped to avoid.

Unfortunately for Primeira Liga side Porto, they were the ones who drew the short straw and Julen Lopetegui’s team now face the arduous task of defeating the reigning Bundesliga champions and five-time European cup winners, who visit the Estadio do Dragao on Wednesday night.

Having comfortably seen off Swiss champions Basel in the previous round, Porto go into the game in fine form themselves, but there can be no denying that this will be an altogether sterner test. True, FCP are unbeaten in their last 11 league games and have a particularly strong record at home – where they have lost just once all season – but in Bayern Munich they face an opponent that has conceded the fewest number of goals in Europe’s top four leagues while losing only twice.

Certainly, the bookmakers are making Porto massive underdogs to get anything from the game, with Bayern being priced up as 3/4 favourites to win on the night and 1/6 to progress to the next round. The hosts, meanwhile, are 5/1 to cause an upset and 11/2 to advance, which, given they are yet to lose a single game in this year’s competition, may offer some value to those willing to take a risk.

Indeed, while it is hard to see FCP going to Bavaria and getting a result, the price on them winning the first leg is definitely tempting – and with a 2-1 scoreline certainly not being the worst result in the world for Bayern to take into the return leg, odds of 18/1 on such an outcome should be jumped on.

With Porto scoring in each of their Champions League games this season and Bayern only failing to find the net in one – away to Shakhtar Donetsk in the previous round – it looks likely that both teams will get on the board in the first leg and this is reflected by odds of 51/50 that neither side keeps a clean sheet. Similarly, a 1-1 draw between the two sides is available at 7/1, which offers considerably better value than a draw by any scoreline, which is currently priced up at a much shorter 3/1.