Sports Betting Weekly

Juventus v Monaco

When: Wednesday, 15 April 2015 @ 01:45 (FINISHED)
Where: Juventus Stadium
Despite seeing off Premier League opposition in the form of Arsenal in the previous round of fixtures, if there was one team most sides would have been happy to get drawn against in the quarter-finals it would be Monaco – and that slice of luck has gone the way of Juventus.

Yes, the Ligue 1 side are known for their dogged defending, but were it not for Arsenal’s appalling display at the Emirates – where they gave away three incredibly cheap goals – Monaco would probably not still be in the competition and they are unlikely to find the Italians anywhere near as accommodating.

Like Monaco, Juventus are not in the habit of giving many goals away and have conceded just 14 in Serie A all season, where they currently sit 14 points clear of Roma at the top of the table. Couple that with the fact that the Old Lady have won their last five games in all competitions without letting in a single strike and you begin to get an idea of what kind of evening awaits Leanardo Jardim’s men.

True, Borussia Dortmund managed to score in Turin in the previous round, but with the Bundesliga club ultimately being thrashed 5-1 on aggregate, it’s not as if Juventus are lacking in firepower either and it looks likely Monaco will at least have to earn a draw and an away goal if they are to progress.

Given Juventus’ record on their own patch, it looks a tall order – and the bookmakers certainly aren’t convinced that Monaco can keep the tie alive by naming them as 19/2 outsiders to win on the night and 11/4 underdogs to qualify full stop. Juventus, meanwhile, are 1/2 to be winning after 90 minutes and as short as 4/11 in some places to make it through to this season’s semi-finals.

While it’s hard to look past the Italians in terms of deciding a winner, those prices are unlikely to offer much value and we may be better positioned in backing Juventus to continue their miserly winning streak by beating Monaco without conceding at evens. Furthermore, with three of their last five wins coming by a 1-0 scoreline, we can also get odds of 17/4 on this again being the outcome.

If you are set on backing a Monaco upset, however, their best chance is probably securing a draw in the first leg and doing the real damage at the Stade Louis II – and given both sides are famed for their sturdy defences, the 15/2 on the game finishing goalless is probably the pick of the scorelines.