Sports Betting Weekly

Arsenal v Everton

When: Sunday, 01 March 2015 @ 20:00 (FINISHED)
Where: Emirate Stadium
Having highlighted the recent outstanding form of top four contenders Liverpool, it’s worth mentioning that the Premier League’s second hottest team right now is not title-chasing Chelsea or Manchester City, but rather perennial Champions League qualifiers, Arsenal.

The Gunners have lost just twice in their last 10 Premier League games, with wins away to West Ham, Manchester City and Crystal Palace helping them climb to third in the table ahead of this weekend’s meeting with Everton, who – by contrast – have won just once since the start of 2015.

With such differing form going into this one, it should hardly come as a big surprise that Arsenal have been named as big 4/7 favourites to make it three Premier League wins on the bounce, with Everton available at odds as long as 6/1 in some places and the draw weighing in at a decent 10/3.

While the points were indeed shared when the two sides met at Goodison Park earlier in the season and the teams have actually drawn four of their last five encounters, the problem for Everton here is Arsenal’s impressive and well-documented home form. Arsene Wenger’s men have only lost once at home in the league all season and just twice since the start of the 2013/2014 campaign, meaning that despite their current winless streak against the Toffees, they look anything but vulnerable here.

Couple that with the fact that the visitors have lost five of their last six away games and it really is hard to make much of a case for Everton getting much out of this one – in fact, having failed to score in four of those away defeats, digging in for a 0-0 bore draw looks about their best chance of success at 14/1. With that scoreline coming in at longer odds than a 1-0, 2-0 or even 3-0 home victory, however, our money looks much better placed on the Gunners to win to nil at prices of 13/8.

Although Arsenal have handed out a couple of high-profile thrashings to Everton in the Premier League era, it should be noted that save for the 2-2 draw this season and last year’s 3-0 defeat at Goodison Park, meetings between the two teams have generally been low-scoring affairs, with the five games before that featuring an average of just 1.2 goals. As such, backing the under 2.5 goals market at 11/10 looks to offer some value or, if you’re feeling really brave, under 1.5 is available at 10/3.

In terms of picking out a first goalscorer, Alexis Sanchez has now gone three games without a goal for the Gunners and represents outstanding value at 5/1, while if you are going to back an Everton player to open the scoring, Steven Naismith has scored in his last two appearances against Arsenal and is available at 12/1 in that market or is a best-priced 43/10 to score at any point in the game.